Vol.
$8,314,090.21
Rules
This market resolves based on the aETHwETH balance shown at exactly 23:59:59 UTC on February 28, 2026. The balance will be determined solely by the value displayed at the following link (“ the Link”): https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/16090b03-b744-484a-8a6d-b1c62b21fd95 The reported aETHwETH amount at that timestamp will be used as the final balance. If the balance is strictly greater than a given threshold, that option resolves to Yes. If the balance is equal to or less than a given threshold, it resolves to No. Clarifications • Only aETHwETH is counted. Other assets (ETH, wETH, aETH, stETH, etc.) are not included. • Temporary intraday fluctuations do not matter — only the balance at the exact resolution time is considered. • Market resolution will be based exclusively on the value displayed at the Link. This source shall be considered the final and binding arbiter, regardless of any external disputes regarding the accuracy or 'true' value of the data. • If the Link is inaccessible at resolution time, commonly accepted archived on-chain data or indexed snapshots referencing the same source may be used.
This market resolves based on the aETHwETH balance shown at exactly 23:59:59 UTC on February 28, 2026.
The balance will be determined solely by the value displayed at the following link (“ the Link”): https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/16090b03-b744-484a-8a6d-b1c62b21fd95
The reported aETHwETH amount at that timestamp will be used as the final balance.
If the balance is strictly greater than a given threshold, that option resolves to Yes. If the balance is equal to or less than a given threshold, it resolves to No.
Clarifications
• Only aETHwETH is counted. Other assets (ETH, wETH, aETH, stETH, etc.) are not included.
• Temporary intraday fluctuations do not matter — only the balance at the exact resolution time is considered.
• Market resolution will be based exclusively on the value displayed at the Link. This source shall be considered the final and binding arbiter, regardless of any external disputes regarding the accuracy or 'true' value of the data.
• If the Link is inaccessible at resolution time, commonly accepted archived on-chain data or indexed snapshots referencing the same source may be used.
Outcome
Chance
> 1,000
$554,246.90 Vol.
Resolved: NO
> 5,000
$124,260.05 Vol.
Resolved: NO
> 10,000
$153,005.67 Vol.
Resolved: NO
> 20,000
$1,025,633.91 Vol.
Resolved: NO
> 30,000
$1,812,524.32 Vol.
Resolved: NO
> 50,000
$4,644,419.35 Vol.
Resolved: NO